Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 15.147548 17.591226 20.245485 23.335212 26.825234 30.637340 35.108227
2025-08-31 10.408942 13.595023 17.407167 22.268970 28.265379 35.377387 44.404957
2025-09-07 8.277053 11.854070 16.466060 22.766908 31.057307 41.489626 55.490126
2025-09-14 6.844169 10.602156 15.761732 23.222208 33.565668 47.208711 66.334201
2025-09-21 5.555733 9.256829 14.640051 22.832919 34.732083 51.087197 74.895282
2025-09-28 4.517807 8.065223 13.511382 22.200895 35.365821 54.142036 82.404097
2025-10-05 4.191788 7.913613 13.880770 23.764380 39.241300 61.955263 97.032254
2025-10-12 3.852183 7.672750 14.055803 25.006149 42.687910 69.329912 111.447878
2025-10-19 3.398616 7.152771 13.693870 25.319725 44.676042 74.610603 123.034633
2025-10-26 2.991484 6.645256 13.276570 25.470580 46.373018 79.502477 134.261698
2025-11-02 2.578614 6.053753 12.627510 25.135572 47.206389 83.045193 143.545585
2025-11-09 2.202675 5.468506 11.908026 24.582398 47.591552 85.845505 151.754225
2025-11-16 1.838923 4.865964 11.120913 23.905909 47.856514 88.717934 160.700131
2025-11-23 1.487440 4.221299 10.165236 22.816662 47.319864 90.274887 167.719299
2025-11-30 1.330456 3.997877 10.040656 23.325106 49.740717 97.044554 183.882524
2025-12-07 1.190778 3.786039 9.906594 23.790033 52.103371 103.844916 200.468202
2025-12-14 1.011770 3.428798 9.391173 23.392502 52.748499 107.593424 211.925651
2025-12-21 0.846042 3.064781 8.798281 22.747060 52.824367 110.276958 221.608153
2025-12-28 0.823343 3.111609 9.200278 24.343647 57.568265 121.904337 247.992522
2026-01-04 0.783597 3.097739 9.448123 25.611496 61.719936 132.634791 273.247698
2026-01-11 0.703672 2.937059 9.296203 25.931631 63.893679 139.693718 292.055120
2026-01-18 0.626420 2.764685 9.085930 26.085637 65.713990 146.156211 310.046914
2026-01-25 0.540898 2.538851 8.692476 25.743627 66.411048 150.427409 324.073445